WDS.ASX28 May 2024

Woodside Energy shows resilience amid challenges but faces stock pressure. Q1 production down 7%, revenue down 12%. Progress in major projects

Recommendation
TAKE PROFIT
Target Price
$27.70
Price Added
$19.68
Risk
NORMAL

Fundamental Scores

Overall: C
Cash Flow: C
Growth: C
Momentum: C
Financial Health: B
Relative Value: C

Body Overview

Woodside Energy (ASX: WDS) has demonstrated resilience amid challenging market conditions, as evidenced by its recent operational update. However, the company faces headwinds that have contributed to a slightly negative sentiment surrounding its stock. In the latest quarter, Woodside reported a production of 44.9 million barrels of oil equivalent (MMboe), marking a 7% decrease from the previous quarter's production levels. This decline is primarily attributed to lower production at Bass Strait, Pyrenees, and Pluto, partially offset by increased production at Mad Dog Phase 2. Additionally, quarterly revenue amounted to $2,969 million, reflecting a 12% decrease from the previous quarter's revenue. This decline can be attributed to a mix of lower realized prices and reduced volumes. On the other hand, Woodside has made notable progress in its major projects. The Scarborough Energy Project has commenced drilling of production wells, with the first Pluto Train 2 modules delivered to site. The project was reported to be 62% complete at the end of the quarter and is targeting the first LNG cargo in 2026. Similarly, the Sangomar Project's FPSO arrived offshore Senegal, with commissioning activities underway. The project was reported to be 96% complete and targeting first oil in mid-2024. Despite these achievements, Woodside's stock has faced downward pressure, with shares depreciating by approximately 12% year-to-date and over 21% over the past twelve months. This decline reflects broader market sentiments and concerns surrounding energy markets. In response to the subdued market sentiment, we suggest that our members consider taking profits on Woodside's stock. With shares trading at $27.70 per share, at the time of writing, representing an upside of 40.75% from our initial "buy" recommendation at $19.68 per share.

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