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Edge
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Direct
Ownership
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$500K
Minimum
High Net Worth
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Fresh Research, Daily Signal

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Daily Update20 Apr 2026

Banks Steady the Ship as ZIP and WDS Track a Surge in Oil Prices

The Australian share market barely moved on Monday, but the story beneath the surface was anything but quiet. The S&P/ASX 200 inched up just 0.07% after a volatile session driven by a sharp jump in oil prices and rising geopolitical tension. Energy names such as Woodside Energy found support as crude surged, while growth stocks wobbled under renewed pressure from higher rate expectations. Standout performers included Zip Co Ltd and James Hardie Industries PLC, both benefiting from selective buying despite broader uncertainty. What kept the market afloat was the resilience of the banks, with Commonwealth Bank helping the index recover from early losses. Investors are increasingly pricing in another rate hike, now seen as more likely as oil-driven inflation risks build. Add in a wave of dividend payments hitting accounts, and the market has a cushion, but sentiment remains fragile as global tensions and key inflation data loom.

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Daily Update09 Apr 2026

ASX Edges Higher as Fragile Ceasefire Tests Market Conviction

The Australian market edged higher on Thursday, with the ASX 200 closing up 0.24% at 8,973.2, though the tone was far more cautious than the previous day’s rally. Investors are now balancing optimism around a tentative Middle East ceasefire with growing doubts about its durability, particularly as reports of early violations emerge and the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted. Energy stocks such as Woodside Energy (ASX:WDS) found support as oil prices rebounded towards US$98 a barrel, while financials, led by Bendigo and Adelaide Bank (ASX:BEN), helped anchor the index. Still, underlying breadth was weak, suggesting the recovery lacks full conviction. Elsewhere, technology and high-growth names came under pressure, with Wisetech Global (ASX:WTC) and Zip Co (ASX:ZIP) sharply lower as investors locked in gains from Wednesday’s surge. The Australian dollar held near US$0.703, while bond yields remained elevated around 4.9%, reflecting persistent inflation concerns. With markets pricing a 55% chance of a May rate hike, attention now turns to geopolitical developments and whether the recent rally can extend towards the 9,000 level.

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Daily Update07 Apr 2026

Relief Rally Lifts ASX 200, with (ASX:BHP), (ASX:RIO) and (ASX:NXT) in Focus

ustralian equities staged a sharp rebound, with the ASX 200 up 1.74% to 8,728.8, driven largely by short covering after the holiday break. Strength was concentrated in technology and materials, with NextDC Ltd (ASX:NXT) jumping on a $1bn capital raising, while BHP Group Ltd (ASX:BHP) and Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX:RIO) tracked firmer commodities. Guzman Y Gomez Ltd (ASX:GYG) stood out, surging over 19% on strong expansion momentum. Still, the index remains about 5.4% below its February high, with resistance near 8,776. The broader backdrop remains uneasy. Oil above US$115, a soft Australian dollar near $0.690, and bond yields around 5% reinforce a higher for longer rate outlook. Domestic data is weakening, with PMI slipping into contraction and job ads declining. Markets now hinge on the Strait of Hormuz deadline, where a diplomatic breakthrough could lift sentiment, but escalation risks a swift reversal.

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Daily Update01 Apr 2026

Relief Rally Ignites: Greatland, Zip and IperionX Surge in Broad Market Bounce

Australian equities opened the quarter with a sharp rebound, as ASX 200 rose 2.24% to around 8,671.8, recovering from March’s fall. The move was driven less by fundamentals than by a shift in expectations, after signals from Washington hinted at a possible de-escalation in Iran within weeks. That was enough to trigger broad short covering, with strength led by resources as BHP Group Ltd (ASX:BHP) and Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX:RIO) rallied, while higher-beta names such as Greatland Resources Ltd (ASX:GGP) and Zip Co Ltd (ASX:ZIP) surged. The tone, however, remains cautious beneath the surface. Oil is still elevated near US$103, the RBA is under pressure to tighten further, and bond yields, while easing, reflect rising growth concerns. In effect, markets are trading a geopolitical scenario rather than a confirmed outcome. This looks more like a tactical rebound than a durable trend, with positioning driving price action more than conviction.

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